So the Tea Party Caucus is apparently a thing now.
The Republican Party is still at war with itself. And the wrong side is winning.
Even if it gains a bunch of members, the caucus has to gain power. This means one of three scenarios.
My odds:
A.) The Tea Party Caucus gains power, pushes via grass roots methods an already partisan, far-right Republican Caucus to become more partisan and more extreme. It does. A solely partisan, far-right party gets beaten soundly in elections. (5%)
B.) The Tea Party Caucus gains power, pushes via grass rootsan already fairly far-right Republican Caucus to become more partisan and more extreme. It doesn't. A disorganized, self-foot-shooting party gets beaten soundly in elections. (25%)
C.) The Tea Party Caucus is just another publicity stunt, doesn't really affect the balance of power. Nothing changes. (70%)
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